Category: Deindustrialization

Agrarian Change in the Lap of Neoliberal Growth: Field perspective from India

srishtiydvLeave a comment

If I had to describe three central characteristics of the Indian economy鈥攊ts three defining features in the neoliberal period鈥攖hey鈥檇 be i) , ii) growth in the absence of formal job-creation, and instead an , and iii) the in value added even as its share in employment remains sizeable. In June-July 2019, I did intensive fieldwork in Sangli, a village in in southern Haryana, to make sense of the ways in which these processes interact with agrarian change and play out for agrarian households, i.e. the contemporary Agrarian Question [1]. 

Sangli is in Haryana, where Green Revolution techniques (high yielding seed varieties, chemical fertilizers and pesticides, and agricultural machinery like tractors and threshers) were adopted early on. It also happens to be close to the industrial belt that extends from the to its surrounding districts, where in the neoliberal era. This makes it an interesting place to study processes of generation and re-investment of agrarian surpluses, and to peer into the relationship between 鈥渕odernized鈥� agriculture and neoliberal industrial and urban growth that has dwarfed the rural economy.

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BNDES鈥� multidimensional retreat from the Brazilian economy

kyunghoonkim0208Leave a comment

BNDES_Building

Brazil is in a crisis again. The COVID-19 pandemic has spread across the country and听听has led to a massive health crisis. Investment outflows have been听听and the Brazilian real has听 dramatically. The Brazilian economy is set to again after three years of weak positive growth.

Brazil鈥檚 development bank Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Econ么mico e Social (BNDES) has announced some听听to deal with the financial instability caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. However, these measures are being听听for being insufficient. Rather than being a temporary policy mistake that can be corrected easily, BNDES鈥� passive response is linked to the bank鈥檚 structural retreat from the economy over the past five years.

During the 2000s, BNDES听was acclaimed as a catalyst of the country鈥檚 economic growth. Globally, developing countries such as saw the rise of BNDES as something favourable and sought to mobilise their own national development banks.

By acting as of major domestic companies, BNDES played a key role in Brazil鈥檚 state-activist growth model of which the observers have labelled 鈥�,鈥� 鈥�,鈥� or 鈥�.鈥� Furthermore, BNDES actively supported national champions鈥� strategy by financing export and investment activities. During and after the global financial crisis, BNDES鈥� role extended and was used by the government to carry out . Read More »

Africa: Time to Rediscover the Economics of Population Density and Development

Erik Reinert1 Comment

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By听Erik Reinert听and听Richard Itaman.

At the OECD鈥檚 origin, we find the 1947 Marshall Plan that re-industrialised a war-torn Europe. At the very core of the Marshall Plan was a profound understanding of the relationship between a nation鈥檚 economic structure and its carrying capacity in terms of population density. We argue that it is necessary to rediscover this theoretical understanding now, in the mutual interest of Africa and Europe.Read More »

Premature Deindustrialization and the Defeminization of Labor

jpellg3 Comments

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In two previous posts on this blog, I鈥檝e discussed the issue of premature deindustrialization and some of its possible consequences. In a , I, along with co-author Bret Anderson of Southern Oregon University, explored the potential consequences of premature deindustrialization further by examining the possible connections between premature deindustrialization and the defeminization of industrial employment. Premature deindustrialization is a situation in which the shares of manufacturing value added and employment begin to shrink at per-capita income levels much lower than those of the early industrializers, along with manufacturing employment peaking at lower levels. The scarce manufacturing jobs that do remain, however, are likely to be relatively high paying jobs that countries and workers compete for. In our work, we assessed whether premature deindustrialization is a feminizing or defeminizing force in industrial employment. By examining 62 countries from 1990 to 2013, we find that premature deindustrialization is likely to amplify the male bias of industrial upgrading.Read More »

Consequences of Deindustrialization in Brazil and South Africa, and Potential Remedies

jpellg1 Comment

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In a previous post, I wrote about the global trend of premature deindustrialization; the trend towards lower levels of industrial employment, and a shift away from industrial employment at lower levels of per capita income, and how the effects on human well-being of these trends are not yet clearly understood. An important question in understanding the impact of these changing structural patterns on individuals鈥� well-being is to whether either a lifting of the living standards of those not in formal employment, or the generation of employment to replace the manufacturing employment, is taking place.

, I illustrated how combining a household level indicator of well-being with decomposition of change analysis can shed light on these questions by focusing on two specific episodes of growth; South Africa from 1996 to 2007 and Brazil from 1991 to 2010. Using Census data from , I created indices of well-being on a scale of 0-100, using indicators such as child survival rate, access to clean water and electricity, and educations levels, culled from census data. Next, each household was assigned to a 鈥渢ype鈥� based on sectoral employment of the household head and urban/rural location, and average household scores were calculated for each type. A decomposition of change analysis was then used to assign improvement in well-being to improvement within the types and shifts in population between these types.Read More »