Category: Global governance

Tensions in Hegemonic Stability and Global Structural Transformation

Abel B.S. Gaiya1 Comment

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In this article I argue that there is a fundamental tension characterizing the process of global development and structural change. Industrial policy is necessary for triggering structural change in the developing world. Yet such efforts put pressure on economic leaders to adjust structurally as well. Drawing from international relations theory, a hegemon is necessary to provide international public goods such as peace, which are critical for development to be possible in the first place. But this necessity gives the hegemon expansive powers over international institutions of economic governance; and this enables the hegemon to externalize the costs of adjustment associated with structural change in the developing world.Read More »

To be Poor in Times of the Current Financial Architecture

annloesLeave a comment

Late developers are nowadays confronted with the problem of having to earn foreign currency to finance structural transformation under extremely unfavourable conditions. The dependency on forex is rooted in the international financial architecture and represents a major pitfall for countries trying to catch up. However, this structural impediment to transformation is not paid much attention to by the dominant development economics.Read More »

Market Power = Trade Power? Why the Strong Don鈥檛 Always Win in Trade Negotiations

pegmurrayevansLeave a comment

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Do stronger countries always get what they want in trade negotiations? My new book – 鈥� suggests not. In it, I ask how African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries were able to extract a series of concessions from the European Union in negotiations for free trade agreements over the last two decades. In doing so, I explore the underlying reasons why power relationships in trade politics are more complex than they appear at first glance. Read More »

The World Bank Pushes Shadow Banking in the Name of Development

Daniela Gabor1 Comment

10229163274_7cb142ccf3_o.jpgLast month, central bankers and politicians around the world remembered the global financial crisis and the lessons learnt in its wake. The consensus goes at follows: we have done a great deal to reform banks and protect tax payers from their aggressive risk taking but we haven鈥檛 done enough on shadow banking. At this point, the consensus fragments. Central banks claim that they need more power to deal with systemic risks stemming from the shadows, whereas politicians worry about the moral hazards involved in future rescues of shadow banks like Lehman.

We are all the more concerned that the same authorities have been actively promoting shadow banking in the Global South. Under headings such as聽Billions to Trillions聽and the World Bank鈥檚 new聽Maximizing Finance for Development (MFD)聽agenda,听the new strategy for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals is to use shadow banking to create 鈥榠nvestable鈥� opportunities in infrastructure, water, health or education and thus attract the trillions in global institutional investment.Read More »

Increasing and Diminishing Returns 鈥� Africa鈥檚 Opportunity to Develop

Erik Reinert1 Comment

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鈥楾his tendency to Diminishing Returns was the cause of Abraham鈥檚 parting from Lot, and of most of the migrations of which history tells鈥� wrote the founder of neo-classical economics, Alfred Marshall, in the first edition of his textbook (1890). In a footnote he refers to the Bible鈥檚 Genesis xiii : 6: 鈥楢nd the land was not able to bear them that they might dwell together; for their substance was great so they could not dwell together鈥�. (Marshall 1890: 201)

Marshall鈥檚 observation also applies to today鈥檚 migration patterns: from countries where most activities are subject to constant or diminishing returns to countries whose key economic activities are subject to increasing returns to scale. Diminishing returns occur when one factor of production is limited by nature, which means that it occurs in agriculture, mining, and fisheries. Normally the best land, the best ore, and the richest fishing grounds are exploited first, and 鈥� after a point 鈥� the more a country specialises in these activities, the poorer it gets. OECD () shows how this occurs in Chilean copper mining: every ton of copper is produced with a higher cost than the previous ton.

In Alfred Marshall鈥檚 theory, the 鈥楲aw of Diminishing Returns鈥� is juxtaposed with 鈥楾he Law of Increasing Returns鈥�, also called economies of scale. Here we find the opposite phenomenon; the larger the volume of production, the cheaper the next unit of production becomes. Traditionally economies of scale were mainly found in manufacturing industry, and increasing returns combined with technological change has for centuries been the main driving force of economic growth. Increasing returns creates imperfect competition, market power and large barriers to entry for challengers 鈥� companies or nations 鈥� making it difficult for them to enter these industries. In contrast to the rents produced under conditions of increasing returns, raw materials 鈥� commodities 鈥� on the other hand, are subject to perfect markets, and productivity improvements spread as lowered prices. This is the essence of the theory which explains why former World Bank Chief Economist Justin Yifu Lin was correct hen he asserted that 鈥楨xcept for a few oil-exporting countries, no countries have ever gotten rich without industrialization first鈥� ( : 350).Read More »

Trade for Human Rights as a Minimum Core Obligation

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In on the Minimum Core Doctrine (MCD) John Tasioulas states:

鈥渢he essence of the concept will be taken to be the sub-set of obligations associated with socio-economic rights that must be immediately complied with in full (obligations of immediate effect)鈥� (p. 3).

He contrasts these against those obligations that require significant resources and are therefore subject to 鈥榩rogressive realization鈥�. Thus, the defining characteristic of MCD is that it differentiates obligations between those of immediate effect and those of progressive realization. And the focus is on the nature of the obligations (what the state must do when) rather than the nature of substantive rights (the condition of people鈥檚 lives).

However, the discussion about what constitutes minimum core obligations in substance focuses on the nature of rights enjoyment and a package of minimum goods and services that would be required rather than the nature of obligations. This starts with General Comment 3 that refers to 鈥榓 minimum core obligation to ensure the satisfaction of, at the very least, minimum essential levels of each of the rights鈥�, and to the provision of 鈥榚ssential primary health care鈥� (ICESCR quoted in Tasioulas p. 5). Further, human rights-based practice begins to specify specific types of diseases to be treated and goods and services that would be included in the minimum, as under the 鈥榮elective primary health care model鈥� adopted by UNICEF (Tasioulas p. 5).Read More »

From Addis to Davos: International Development Finance gets Conspicuous

Rose WordenLeave a comment

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The theme of the 2018 World Economic Forum was, 鈥淐reating a Shared Future in a Fractured World.鈥� Its six richest attendees each boasted an estimated net worth of, or the same amount as the total burden of Somalia鈥檚 outstanding debt, which, amid the splendor of the event, Somali Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khayre to discuss . In this era of extreme global inequality, it is estimated that the United Nations agenda of seventeen sustainable development goals (SDGs) known as, will require of investment per year to be realized, or more than twice the amount expected to be available from traditional official development assistance (ODA) alone. Due to the increasing concentration of private wealth in the global economy, discussions around development finance have focused on private sector engagement, rather than more traditional, ODA from predominantly Western donor governments and multilateral institutions.Read More »

The BRICS and a Changing World

Sanjay G ReddyLeave a comment

This July and August, I led an international group of experts in preparing an Economic Report on the role of the BRICS countries (Brazil, China, India, Russia and South Africa) in the world economy and international development. 聽The was commissioned as an input to the that took place in early September 2017 in Xiamen, China.

It surveys the BRICS countries鈥� sizable contribution to global growth, trade and investment, evaluates the prospects for this to continue in the future, and explores the possible role that these countries can play in bolstering the global economy, in reshaping international economic arrangements and in contributing to the and to international development generally. An important conclusion in the report is that continued BRICS growth as well as policy initiatives can substantially benefit other developing countries (the report uses the IMF category of Emerging Market and Developing Countries, or EMDCs) 鈥� and developed countries too. 聽I will 聽be pleased if the report will be circulated widely, and welcome all reactions.Read More »